MODELOS DE PREVISÃO DE CARGA DE CURTO PRAZO / SHORT TERM LOAD FORECASTING MODELS

AUTOR(ES)

GHEISA ROBERTA TELLES ESTEVES

DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO

2003

RESUMO

Application of two diferent metodologies, in order to model and forecast the behavior of time series of hourly electrical loads generated by ESCELSA. Was applied to the time series studied the metodology of the direct smoothing, and also a recent metodology, the Holt-Winters with multiple sazonalities. In both of them it has been done the hourly forecast (24 hours load forecasting).

ASSUNTO(S)

previsao tungstenio multiplos ciclos direct smoothing multiples sazonalities modelos de previsao forecasting tungsten forecasting methods amortecimento direto

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