Inflation Forecast
Mostrando 1-4 de 4 artigos, teses e dissertações.
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1. Tests applied in macroeconomics: exchange rate expectations and inflation / Ensaios aplicados de macroeconomia: taxa de câmbio e expectativas de inflação
This doctoral thesis consists of three essays in applied macroeconomics. The first essay retakes the classic result of the article by Meese and Rogoff (1983), in which the authors found strong evidence that no structural model for the exchange rate surpasses the projections of a random walk model. In this first essay we compare the error of the projections f
Publicado em: 2008
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2. Modelos Lineares e nÃo Lineares da Curva de Phillips para PrevisÃo da Taxa de InflaÃÃo no Brasil / Linear and not Linear models of the Curve of Phillips for Forecast of the Tax of Inflation in Brazil
O presente trabalho apresenta uma anÃlise de previsÃo da taxa de inflaÃÃo mensal brasileira a partir de diferentes modelos lineares e nÃo lineares de sÃries temporais e da Curva de Phillips com o objetivo de identificar o melhor mecanismo preditivo para esta variÃvel. O modelo utilizado como base comparativa das previsÃes neste estudo foi o processo
Publicado em: 2008
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3. Previsão de inflação no Brasil: uma aplicação de redes neurais artificiais ao regime de metas de inflação
Inflation targeting was adopted in Brazil in 1999. Since then, the importance of inflation forecast has been growing, mainly because its larga influence in monetary policy decisions. Besides the increasing number of working papers about inflation forecasts for Brazil, nona uses artificial neural networks as forecast tool. Neural nets have great popularity in
Publicado em: 2006
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4. Assessing the economic impact of AIDS in local communities. Current and projected costs for San Diego County.
The economic cost of the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) in San Diego County, California, is forecast to increase from $103 million in 1986 to between $502 and $743 million in 1991, rising at a minimum average annual rate of 30% after adjusting for inflation. A greater emphasis on outpatient care and the use of new therapies that increase life expe