Tópicos em Econometria Aplicada
AUTOR(ES)
Rodrigues, Claudia Oliveira da Fontoura
DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO
14/12/2009
RESUMO
This paper has three original contributions. The first is the reconstruction of employment and income series to allow the creation of a new coincident index for the Brazilian economic activity. The second is the construction of a coincident index of the economic activity for Brazil, and from it, (re) establish a chronology of recessions in the recent past of the Brazilian economy. The coincident index follows the methodology proposed by The Conference Board and it covers the period 1980:1 to 2007:11. The third is the construction and evaluation of many leading indicators of economic activity for Brazil which fills an important gap in the Brazilian Business Cycles literature.
ASSUNTO(S)
indicador coincidente indicador antecedente convergencia de renda convergencia de previsões econometria
