PrevidÃncia, crescimento econÃmico e resultado fiscal das economias locais no Estado do CearÃ: uma anÃlise regional / Security, economic growth and fiscal results of the local economies in the state of Ceara: a regional analysis

AUTOR(ES)
FONTE

IBICT - Instituto Brasileiro de Informação em Ciência e Tecnologia

DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO

13/12/2010

RESUMO

Regarding the insolvency path of the Brazilian social security system, the study builds a panel with 132 municipalities and investigates the impact of per capita social security expenditures on local economies from Cearà in terms of economic growth and fiscal equilibrium of local economies. Further, the analysis was disaggregated in terms of geographical regions and the social security expenditures compared with those in social areas such as health and education and infrastructure such as housing and urbanism. The overall results differ dramatically from the specialized analysis by regions of the state: i) to the overall municipalities or to the RMF public administrations, the impact of social security expenditures raises GDP growth in real terms with no impact over the local fiscal balance, which entails that these expenditures donât compromise the local public solvency; ii) In Sobral/Ibiapaba and Cariri regions, those expenditures had innocuous or recessive impacts; iii) to the overall economies, the expenditures in health and education and housing stimulate the GDP growth, although corroborate the trade-off between social expenditures and fiscal results.

ASSUNTO(S)

ciencias sociais aplicadas gastos com previdÃncia crescimento econÃmico resultado fiscal social security expenditures economic growth fiscal balance previdÃncia social privada desenvolvimento econÃmico

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