Modelo cognitivo informacional de suporte a decisão aplicado á gestão de bacias urbanas / Informational cognitive model of support to the decision applied to the management of urban basins.
AUTOR(ES)
Luiz Gonzaga Baganha Júnior
DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO
2005
RESUMO
The research was carried through from the choice of the corresponding area to the basin of the Tucunduba narrow river, in the urban zone of Belém, capital of the State of Pará, and is come back toward the development of a computational causal structure cognitive capable to identify and to characterize the potential indicating processes conflicts generated for the multiple uses of the water in this urban basin, and with this to make possible decisions in the scope of the structural and not structural measures. The use of a qualitative model, using informacionais methodologies, as software Decision Explorer, in the area of water resources, aims at to not only understand the aspects hydrologics, but also the social, indispensable aspects in the taking of decision ahead of a scene of conflitualidade how much to the use of these resources. This software is a tool for the development of the cognitive mapping, through which representative causes and effect by means of visualization codified of the same ones will be grouped the concepts joining. The identification and qualification of the decurrent conflicts of the multiple uses of the water had been carried through from interviews with specialists in the area of management and sanitation, being later generated the cognitives maps thus making possible the description of the chosen system and the identification of the possible mediating solutions for the conflicts identified there. The result gotten from the interviews was added in an only map with intention to prove the hypothesis formulated in the research, by means of the analysis tools, or either, to assist in the identification of the conflicts for the multiple use of the water, from existing the structural and not structural measures (or proposals), in order to provide to the manager the borrower of decision of more efficient form in the solution of these conflicts. In this in case that, we could say that this group of constructs illustrates the main ones measured to be observed for the decision borrower, in order to solve the conflicts for the multiple use in the basin of the Tucunduba, evidenced for the facilitator through the interviews and individual cognitives maps. The conclusions and recommendations are contained in the final chapter are gotten not only through the extracted results of used software, but mainly by means of the intervention and interpretation of the data for the researcher, that it gets to break of these analyses the agreement of the functioning of the system, the identification of the potential conflicts, its causes and effect, as well as the mitigates measures to be suggested the decision borrower. They are enclosed in this chapter suggestions aiming at the improvement of the model bred.
ASSUNTO(S)
Água - uso drainage metodologia informacional water resources development recursos hídricos - desenvolvimento water use cognitive model conflicts for the use of the water engenharia sanitaria watershed management conflict management system analysis drenagem informational methodology conflitos pelo uso da água bacias hidrográficas - administração análise de sistemas modelo cognitivo conflito - administração
