LINEAR GROWTH BAYESIAN MODEL USING DISCOUNT FACTORS / MODELO BAYESIANO DE CRESCIMENTO LINEAR COM DESCONTOS

AUTOR(ES)
DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO

1985

RESUMO

The aim of this thesis is to discuss in details the Multiprocess Linear Grawth Bayesian Model for seasonal and/or nonseasonal series, using discount factors. The original formulation of this model was put forward recently by Ameen and Harrison. In the first part of the thesis (chapters 2 and 3) we show some general concepts related to time series and time series modelling, whereas in the second (chapters 4, 5 and 6) we formally presented / the Bayesian formulation of the proposed model. A flow chart and some optional parameter setings aiming a computational implementation is also presented.

ASSUNTO(S)

bayesian model estatistica bayesiana modelo bayesiano bayesian statistics

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