A matriz energetica de Mato Grosso : analise e prospecção / Energy demand and supply of the State of Mato Grosso : a prospective analysis

AUTOR(ES)
DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO

2006

RESUMO

The present work provides an analysis regarding the sector structure of the economy and the energy demand and supply of State of Mato Grosso in the light of a retrospective and prospective approach, which takes into account the main social, economic and technological determinants. The prospective evaluation is also supported by a set of alternative development scenarios having as benchmarks the current available national scenarios, which pave the ground for the establishment of interdependence relations between the macroeconomic indices and the demand of energy. The scenarios are also developed with the aid of state experts, especially devised for this work on the prospective economic path, and the local energy sector with a view to the analysis of advance opportunities concerning the regional energy supply. The methodology of structural decomposition is applied to forecast the evolution of energy demand, wich also takes into consideration, besides the gross domestic product (GDP), the added sector values, the energy intensities and the relative participation of the most important energy resources in each of the analyzed sectors. From this systematization, the sector and total state energy demand are foreseen up to the year 2012, which becomes an analytical and methodological effective instrument to aid the energy planning of Mato Grosso. At last, it is argued the perspectives for local energy supply expansion before the alternatives that are currently presented

ASSUNTO(S)

politica energetica energy development desenvolvimento energetico energy policy energy consumption energia - consumo mato grosso

ACESSO AO ARTIGO

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