Uma investigação dos fatores econômicos que influenciaram na sobrevida de micro e pequenas empresas do estado do Ceará no período de 2002-2006 / Survival Analysis; Micro and Small Enterprises; Modeling Survival Data, Data Characterization Survival; parametric Estimator KAPLAN-MEIER

AUTOR(ES)
DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO

2009

RESUMO

The main objective of this research is to explore economics issues that may induce impact on lifetime of small businesses during 2002 to 2006. The group of enterprises studied was selected from database of taxpayers recorded at fiscal authority of State of Ceará. To do that, the methodology was focused on a branch of statistics which deals with survival analysis, called duration analysis or duration modeling in economics. It was applied non-linear model whose non-parametric estimator chosen was KAPLAN-MEIER. Through that methodology, it was developed sceneries based on the following attributes: county where the enterprises were established; economics activities based on national classification, fiscal version 1.0/1.1; and, finally, the relationship between State of Ceará as fiscal authority and enterprises. The counties were grouped applying two parameters of stratifications: gross domestic product(GDP) per capita and investment in education per capita. Before any stratification, only counties with thirty or more enterprises starting their activities in year 2002 were considered in sceneries to analysis.

ASSUNTO(S)

modelagem de dados de sobrevivência survival analysis ciencias sociais aplicadas estimador nãoparamétrico kaplan-meier duration modeling, kaplan-meier análise de sobrevivência survival data modeling. small business micros e pequenas empresas duration analysis caracterização de dados de sobrevivência

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