Time-series forecasting of pollutant concentration levels using particle swarm optimization and artificial neural networks

AUTOR(ES)

Albuquerque Filho, Francisco S. de, Madeiro, Francisco, Fernandes, Sérgio M. M., Mattos Neto, Paulo S. G. de, Ferreira, Tiago A. E.

FONTE

Quím. Nova

DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO

2013

RESUMO

This study evaluates the application of an intelligent hybrid system for time-series forecasting of atmospheric pollutant concentration levels. The proposed method consists of an artificial neural network combined with a particle swarm optimization algorithm. The method not only searches relevant time lags for the correct characterization of the time series, but also determines the best neural network architecture. An experimental analysis is performed using four real time series and the results are shown in terms of six performance measures. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed methodology achieves a fair prediction of the presented pollutant time series by using compact networks.

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