Mathematical theory of group selection: Structure of group selection in founder populations determined from convexity of the extinction operator*

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RESUMO

Genetic analysis for group selection is developed for the case of a biallelic locus (A, a) undergoing group selection of founder populations only. By contrast to R. Levins“E = E(x) models, extinction now depends on genetics at the propagule stage but acts uniformly on larger populations. Biological evidence supports this hypothesis, which also allows mathematical treatment at once simpler and biologically more general than the Fokker-Planck partial differential equation formalism adopted by Levins. It is presently possible to handle cytogenetics of both diploid and haplodiploid type. The model is set up as a quasideterministic recursion in the 5-simplex Σ5, collapsing both drift and mendelian selection effects into a single parameter u, which is a Fisher-Kimura-Ohta fixation probability. In the analysis, it is shown that the stability of the fixed points is determined by the convexity of the extinction operator acting on propagules, assumed to be of size 2.

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