Mathematical modeling to study powdery mildew (Microsphaera Diffusa) in soybean crop under CO2 effects / Modelagem matematica para o estudo do oidio em uma plantação de soja sob os efeitos do CO2

AUTOR(ES)
DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO

2007

RESUMO

The recently climate changes of the planet are promoving alteration in the incident and development in the plants diseases. The main gas that cause this event is the carbon dioxide, CO2. Based in this fact, it was developed by Embrapa environmental, the experiment that works with futures scenarios, looking the quality of CO2 present in the atmosphere. First of all it was made a statistic analyses of datas, verifing the leaf area that was damned, the hights of the primary soybeans plants, the nodulation and the dry weight. With the results that was gotten in this analyses, we could notice that it had a significant difference in the size of the leafs area damned when it was expose in differents levels of CO2. Starting from this datas, it was elaborated a deterministical mathematic model for crop the growing leaf area damned, caused by mildew, coupled in the growing rate of the damned area the influence of the CO2 quantity. Some simulation it were done using the growing quantity of CO2 in the atmosphere. With the presents datas of the years, we observe that in all cases, that hight level of CO2 cause the reduction of the damned leafs area. Even thought exists a reduction in this area, the quantity of pathogen grows exponentially in the times. What make us conclude, that in futures scenarios, will have a big spread in the soybean disease, caused py mildew

ASSUNTO(S)

oidio - modelos matematicos carbon dioxide mudanças climaticas mildew dioxido de carbono climatic changes

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