Macrodinâmica à Keynesiana : uma travessia com consistência entre fluxos e estoques a partir do encadeamento de curtos períodos do multiplicador / Keynesian-style macrodinamics : a stock-flow consistent traverse throught the enchainment of short multiplier periods

AUTOR(ES)
FONTE

IBICT - Instituto Brasileiro de Informação em Ciência e Tecnologia

DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO

27/02/2012

RESUMO

This thesis is divided into three parts. The first one discusses the short period behind the traditional autonomous expenditure multiplier, in a way that exposes the major macroeconomic aggregates and their interconnections; at this point the separation between the autonomous and induced parcels with respect to income is crucial. A second chapter, compounding the first part, presents estimations of the parameters involved in a given specification of the multiplier, for Brazil, trying also to capture the chronological period of time inherent to the theoretical period of the multiplier. Considering the presentation of the investment in the previous part as autonomous with respect to income, the second part explores this hypothesis arguing from the inter-sectoral relationships existent in a economic system. Once more, the division in two chapters was made, one outlining the theoretical basis, from a multi-sectoral scheme, and another featuring empirical results, based on input-output matrices. Finally, the third part employs stock-flow consistent models to derive some dynamical implications to beyond the short period of multiplier, resulting from a given observed structure. To this end, the estimations of the parameters and of the multiplier period are used, moving from a theoretical simulation model to an applied strategy that incorporates the role of stocks in a trivial framework of analysis of the macroeconomic aggregates.

ASSUNTO(S)

macroeconomia - modelos matemáticos análise fluxo-estoque multiplicador (economia) macroeconomics stock-flow analysis multiplier (economics)

ACESSO AO ARTIGO

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