Leprosy in Brazil in the 21st century: analysis of epidemiological and operational indicators using inflection point regression,

AUTOR(ES)

Souza, Carlos Dornels Freire de; Paiva, João Paulo Silva de; Leal, Thiago Cavalcanti; Urashima, Gabriel da Silva

FONTE

An. Bras. Dermatol.

DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO

2020-12

RESUMO

Abstract The objective of this study was to analyze the trend of epidemiological and operational indicators of leprosy in Brazil, from 2001 to 2017. This was a time series study involving nine indicators. The inflection point regression model was used. Decreasing trends were observed for the following: general detection (−4.8%), children under 15 (−3.7%), prevalence (−7.0%), and grade 2/million inhabitants (−3.5%). The proportion of individuals with grade 2 disability showed an upward trend (2.0%) from 2001 as well as contacts examined from 2003 (5.0%). The proportions of cure and of individuals with a degree of disability assessed at the time of the diagnosis and the cure showed a stationary behavior. Although advances are noted, there are still challenges to be overcome.

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