Geografia eleitoral: volatilidade e tendências nas eleições presidenciais de 1989 a 2006 / Electoral geography: volatility and trends in presidential elections from 1989 to 2006
AUTOR(ES)
Aleksei Zolnerkevic
FONTE
IBICT - Instituto Brasileiro de Informação em Ciência e Tecnologia
DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO
14/09/2011
RESUMO
This dissertation is on the electoral volatility in Brazilian presidential elections between 1989 and 2006 on Brazilian municipalities scale. The electoral volatility of four periods was calculated: 1989/1994, 1994/1998, 1998/2002, and 2002/2006. The calculations were made using the inter-bloc volatility index (Bartolini and Mair, 1990). The electoral geography of municipal electoral volatility is presented through maps and tables. The Brazilian municipalities were identified and classified into five groups according to the incidence of high volatility in the period 1989 to 2006. Finally, there is an analysis of the possible correlation between this classification and some socioeconomic variables. The results indicate that high rates of electoral volatility during presidential elections in Brazilian municipalities were correlated with low rates of education and life condition.
ASSUNTO(S)
brazilian municipalities electoral geography electoral volatility eleições presidenciais geografia eleitoral municípios brasileiros presidential elections volatilidade eleitoral
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