GENERATING CAPACITY RELIABILITY EVALUATION CONSIDERING UNCERTAINTIES IN UNIT UNAVAILABILITY AND LOAD FORECASTING / AVALIAÇÃO DA CONFIABILIDADE DA CAPACIDADE DE GERAÇÃO CONSIDERANDO INCERTEZAS NA INDISPONIBILIDADE DAS UNIDADES GERADORAS E NA PREVISÃO DOS PICOS DE CARGA

AUTOR(ES)
DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO

1986

RESUMO

This work presents a pratical and general method based on discrete convolution techniques for evaluating the expectation and variance of the loss of load índices, for a single-area system, by treating forced outage rates and forecast peak loads as random variables with specified means and variances. The proposed method easily accounts for partial forced outage rates associated with unit derated states, without any restrictions. Also, it is shown how fast Fourier transtorm techniques can be used to carry out the discrete convolution. The proposed algorithm is applied to typical generating systems including the IEEE Reliability Test System, and the results are discussed.

ASSUNTO(S)

generating capacity reliability convolution techniques tecnicas de convolucao confiabilidade da capacidade de geracao

Documentos Relacionados