Exogenous expectations on endogenous uncertainty: recursive equilibrium and survival
AUTOR(ES)
Raad, Rodrigo Jardim
FONTE
Escola de Pós-Graduação em Economia da FGV
DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO
18/04/2011
RESUMO
This paper analyses general equilibrium models with finite heterogeneous agents having exogenous expectations on endogenous uncertainty. It is shown that there exists a recursive equilibrium with the state space consisting of the past aggregate portfolio distribution and the current state of the nature and that it implements the sequential equilibrium. We establish conditions under which the recursive equilibrium is continuous. Moreover, we use the continuous recursive relation of the aggregate variables to prove that if the economy has two types of agents, the one who commits persistent mistakes on the expectation rules of the future endogenous variables is driven out of the market by the others with correct anticipations of the variables, that is, the rational expectations agents.
ASSUNTO(S)
endogenous uncertainty recursive equilibrium survival equilíbrio econômico
ACESSO AO ARTIGO
http://hdl.handle.net/10438/7914Documentos Relacionados
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