ESTIMATIVA PROBABILÍSTICA DE RESERVAS RECUPERÁVEIS DE PETRÓLEO: MÉTODOS E APLICAÇÃO / PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF RECOVERABLE OIL RESERVE: METHODS AND APPLICATION

AUTOR(ES)
DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO

2003

RESUMO

This dissertation is intended to present and apply the probabilistic methods to estimate the recoverable reserves of mature oil fields (fields in the decline phase), from the historical production data (production rate and time). Initially, a bibliographical review is made and the methods of adjustment of the decline curve and probabilistic estimation of the reserves found in literature are presented. For greater precision, some modifications are made in these methods and programs are developed in Visual Basic. These programs are intended to obtain the probabilistic estimation of the recoverable reserves and the total production life of the field starting at the beginning of the decline phase. Finally, the results of a producing field are presented and the comparisons between the deterministic and the probabilistic forecasts are made.

ASSUNTO(S)

estimativa probabilistica probabilistic estimation curva de declinio decline curve petroleum reserves reservas de petroleo

ACESSO AO ARTIGO

Documentos Relacionados