Empirical model of depreciation for tractors of wheels. / Modelo empírico de depreciação para tratores agrícolas de rodas.

AUTOR(ES)
DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO

2004

RESUMO

The depreciation of wheeled tractors is an important component of the fixed cost. The right determination of this parameter is vital to determine the machinery cost during its useful life. Several methods are proposed in order to estimate tractor depreciation with more than a year of use: linear, decreasing balance, sum of the year’s digit, fund of capital recovery and the values published by the newspaper “O Estado de São Paulo”. The most adequate among the available methods is the market price, which is based on research of the machinery value ok tractor dealers. This work consists in a surveying of sale prices of agricultural wheeled tractors and in the comparison of the obtained data (value practiced in the market) with those obtained by methods proposed on references. In order to obtain these data it was elaborated a questionnaire, which had fields for the evaluated machine and its main components to be evaluated. For the evaluation of the tractor conservation, grades from 1 (bad) to 5 (excellent) were attributed to each component. This questionnaire was available on the web site of the College of Agriculture “Luiz de Queiroz”, University of São Paulo. Tractor dealers throughout the country were contacted and asked to join the survey. The low rate of answers (3%) motivated a survey done directly to dealers located in a 150- km radius from Piracicaba, state of São Paulo. The step after the data collection was the analyses of useful life (years), power, worked hours and the conservation state of the evaluated tractors. As the tractor age was increasing the conservation state was worsening. Tractors up to 34 years of use were counted. The analysis of worked hours was hardened by the lack of trustfulness of the hour counter and by the information gotten in tractors with broken instruments. Power levels found in the evaluated fleet were concentrated on those more traded in Brazil. The regression analysis was significant only when useful life and market price were related. The comparison between the developed model and the proposed methods revealed the biggest difference on the first year of use, and it became more trustful from the seventh year of use, comparing with the linear and decreasing balance methods; when comparing to the sum of the year’s digit method and the values published by the newspaper “O Estado de São Paulo”, from the third year of use, and finally, when comparing to fund of capital recovery method, from the eighth year of use.

ASSUNTO(S)

depreciação econômica análise de regressão economic depreciation agricultural market regression analysis agricultural mechanization indústria agricultural tractor conservation agricultural price preço agrícola mecanização agrícola trator agrícola – conservação mercado agrícola empiric model industry

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