Efeitos do transbordamento da hysteresis nas exportações sobre o mercado de trabalho / Export hysteresis spillover´s over labor market

AUTOR(ES)
DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO

2008

RESUMO

This masters dissertation aimed to find new evidences about relation that exists between exportation hysteresis and its consequences over work market. Exportation activity persistence presented in Kannebley Jr. (2006) to the period from 1990 to 1997 had motivated this relation analysis. Our assumption assumes that exportation hysteresis can spillover variables related to the workforce turnover. To execute this research will be used the SECEX (Secretaria de Comércio Exterior) and RAIS (Relação Anual de Informações Sociais) databases for São Paulo processing industry from 1990 to 1997. Due to the specification tests we had chosen in the first stage a fixed effects panel data envolving instrumental variables (VI) estimated through generalized method of moments with serial correlation and heterocedasticity correction and second stage through dynamic model in first difference envolving instrumental variables (VI) estimated through Arellano and Bond (1991) proceeding one-step and two-step. Results confirmed our hypothesis, being exchange rate and entry and exit sunk costs of the foreign exchange market, relevant factors to explain hysteresis spillovers in exportations over workforce market.

ASSUNTO(S)

transbordamento hysteresis nas exportações spillovers workforce turnover exportation hysteresis rotatividade da mão-de-obra

ACESSO AO ARTIGO

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