Economic and Financial Feasibility Analysis of Ethanol Pipelines in Brazil / Análise de viabilidade econômico-financeira de alcoodutos no Brasil

AUTOR(ES)
DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO

2009

RESUMO

The goal of this work was to delimit profitability indexes, as such Internal Rate of Return IRR, Net Present Value NPV and payback, for two alternatives of ethanol pipelines grids selected by UNICAs et al. (2006) working group, and to analyze if these projects are economically feasible in comparison with other investment alternatives that are available for the involved agents. The sensitivity analysis of the project in relation to some variables changes, as the investment values, tariff and volume transported through the pipeline, was an important exercise. It was also done a comparison among the resulting profitability indexes of UNICAs et al. (2006) work and those calculated in this dissertation. The main data necessary to the feasibility analysis of the selected alternatives (Conchas/Paulínia/Campo Limpo/Santos and Conchas/Paulínia/São Sebastião pipelines) as pipelines extension, necessary investments, project period, start of operations, charged tariff for ethanol transportation, pipelines capacity, operations and maintenance spending and cost of capital was also obtained in UNICA et al. (2006) work. Considering the available data, the Discounted Cash Flow DCF method was selected to make the investments evaluation. The results indicate that, considering the investment structure, pipeline tariff and modular capacity of the pipelines initially determined to the projects by UNICAs team, none of the selected grids have satisfactory profitability indexes in relation to market reality. So, it is possible to conclude that, in case of projects of this nature, which are essential to the economic and infrastructure development in Brazil, governmental subsidies are necessary, in addition to private initiative massive participation, characterizing the need of Public- Private Partnerships - PPP.

ASSUNTO(S)

pipelines feasibility analysis. dutos - viabilidade econômica ethanol etanol.

ACESSO AO ARTIGO

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