BOOTSTRAP EM SÉRIES TEMPORAIS / BOOTSTRAP IN TIME SERIES
AUTOR(ES)
ANSELMO CHAVES NETO
DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO
1991
RESUMO
The bootstrap of B. Efron, what should not be imagined without fast andcheaper computation, can solve several problems free from assumption that the data conform to a bell-shaped curve. This work has the aim to present this computer-intensive technics in the context of Time Series - Box and Jenkins´s Methodology. As we know this methodology own some asymptotic results. Then in the identification stage of the structure of the model it may present some troubles on regions of the parametric space, as we show later on the bootstrap is proposed as an aption and a comparative simulation study is pointed out. We build up the bootstrap distribution of the sample autocorrelation and sample partial autocorrelation, and yet a bootstrap distribution to the non-linear LS estimator of the coefficients to the ARMA (p,q) model. As a consequence we get the non- parametric measure of the accuracy of the estimates. The study of simulation wich takes into account the non-linear LS estimato to the coefficients, actually focalize the borden of the stationarity and invertibility region.
ASSUNTO(S)
time series bootstrap series temporais models arma modelo arma bootstrap
