APLICAÇÃO DE OPÇÕES REAIS AO SETOR DE CIRCUITOS INTEGRADOS / REAL OPTIONS APPLICATION ON INTEGRATED CIRCUITS SECTOR

AUTOR(ES)
DATA DE PUBLICAÇÃO

2010

RESUMO

Electronic industry is getting more important in world economy. The use of electronic parts is not an exclusive use of information technology but also of many sectors. It is becoming more important to attract investments in integrated circuits in order to differentiate products, to invest in research and development and even to increase brasilian industry competitiveness. In this context, this study intends to evaluate an investment opportunity of an integrated circuits company with a numeric example. Considering many uncertainties that exist on a project like this, real options theory was used in order to analyse an integrated circuits start-up investment. It is important to mention that the volatility of the return of a group of companies was used as a proxy to obtain the underlying risky asset volatility, as the underlying risky asset is the cash flow of an integrated circuits company built in Brazil. Therefore, this methodology was implemented to find a start-up project volatility. With this estimated volatility, the real options values were calculated based on the binomial model proposed by Cox, Ross &Rubinstein. Results show that incorporating uncertainties and analysing wait and expansion options raise substantial value to the project.

ASSUNTO(S)

opcoes reais real options analise de investimento analysis of investment

ACESSO AO ARTIGO

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