Models Forecasting
Mostrando 1-12 de 158 artigos, teses e dissertações.
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1. Progresso da queima das pontas das folhas da cebola sob diferentes programas de aplicação de fungicidas
RESUMO A queima das pontas das folhas da cebola, causada por Botrytis squamosa, é controlada por meio de pulverizações foliares com fungicidas seguindo um calendário fixo, sem considerar o progresso da doença. O regime de pulverização baseado em um sistema de previsão pode prever seu progresso e com isso possibilitar a redução do número de pulveri
Summa phytopathol.. Publicado em: 17/01/2020
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2. Monitoring Pyricularia sp. airborne inoculum in Passo Fundo, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil
RESUMO O fungo Pyricularia sp. agente causal da brusone do trigo, produz conídios hialinos, secos e leves que podem ser removidos das lesões esporulativas pelo vento, e transportados a longas distâncias. Foram conduzidos experimentos com o objetivo de determinar (a) a relação entre variáveis meteorológicas e a quantidade de conídios de Pyricularia sp
Summa phytopathol.. Publicado em: 17/01/2020
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3. Prediction of restrained shrinkage crack width of slag mortar composites using data mining techniques
ABSTRACT The purpose of this study is to develop data mining models to predict restrained shrinkage crack widths of slag mortar cementitious composites. A database published by BILIR et al. [1] was used to develop these models. As a modelling tool R environment was used to apply these data mining (DM) techniques. Several algorithms were tested and analyzed u
Matéria (Rio J.). Publicado em: 25/11/2019
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4. APPLYING SINGULAR SPECTRUM ANALYSIS AND ARIMA-GARCH FOR FORECASTING EUR/USD EXCHANGE RATE
RESUMO Objetivo: O objetivo deste artigo foi modelar a série de minuto das taxas de câmbio do par EUR/USD por meio dos métodos singular spectrum analysis (SSA) e ARIMA-GARCH, e avaliar qual gera previsões melhores para um horizonte de cinco minutos. Originalidade/valor: Apesar de o SSA se mostrar uma técnica bem-sucedida em outros ramos da ciência, s
RAM, Rev. Adm. Mackenzie. Publicado em: 12/08/2019
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5. Avaliação da Habilidade do Modelo WRF em Representar a Precipitação na Amazônia Usando Diferentes Escalas
Resumo A precipitação no norte da Amazônia dos verões e outonos austral, do período de 1988 a 1999, foi simulada utilizando o modelo regional Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF), através de uma abordagem em escalas distintas, com domínios aninhados de 45 e 15 km. As condições iniciais e de contorno foram obtidas da Climate Forecast System Reanaly
Rev. bras. meteorol.. Publicado em: 05/08/2019
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6. PRODUCTIVE RESPONSES FROM BROILER CHICKENS RAISED IN DIFFERENT COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION SYSTEMS - PART I: FUZZY MODELING
ABSTRACT Broiler chickens are classified as homoeothermic animals and require a production environment within well-defined thermal comfort intervals. Therefore, the development of algorithms (mathematical models) to control the environment that can be embedded in microcontrollers becomes necessary. Hence, this work aimed to develop a fuzzy model for predicti
Eng. Agríc.. Publicado em: 2019-02
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7. Electric power load in Brazil: view on the long-term forecasting models
Abstract Paper aims This paper aims to discuss how the energy load forecasts used by the System Operator and the main agents of the sector are made, and for what purposes, besides discuss the forecast deviations of the ONS’s and EPE’s models and their consequences and costs to the agents involved. Originality Fill a gap in the Brazilian literature wh
Prod.. Publicado em: 08/10/2018
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8. Comparing an Ensemble Kalman Filter to a 4DVAR Data Assimilation System in Chaotic Dynamics
ABSTRACT: In this paper, the Ensemble Kalman Filter is compared with a 4DVAR Data Assimilation System in chaotic dynamics. The Lorenz model is chosen for its simplicity in structure and the dynamic similarities with primitive equations models, such as modern numerical weather forecasting. It was examined if the Ensemble Kalman Filter and 4DVAR are effective
J. Aerosp. Technol. Manag.. Publicado em: 2017-12
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9. FUZZY INFERENCE SYSTEMS FOR MULTI-STEP AHEAD DAILY INFLOW FORECASTING
ABSTRACT This paper presents the evaluation of a daily inflow forecasting model using a tool that facilitates the analysis of mathematical models for hydroelectric plants. The model is based on a Fuzzy Inference System. An offline version of the Expectation Maximization algorithm is employed to adjust the model parameters. The tool integrates different inflo
Pesqui. Oper.. Publicado em: 2017-01
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10. Correlation maps to assess soybean yield from EVI data in Paraná State, Brazil
ABSTRACT Vegetation indices are widely used to monitor crop development and generally used as input data in models to forecast yield. The first step of this study consisted of using monthly Maximum Value Composites to create correlation maps using Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensor mounted on Ter
Sci. agric. (Piracicaba, Braz.). Publicado em: 2016-10
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11. Operating cost budgeting methods: quantitative methods to improve the process
Abstract Operating cost forecasts are used in economic feasibility studies of projects and in budgeting process. Studies have pointed out that some companies are not satisfied with the budgeting process and chief executive officers want updates more frequently. In these cases, the main problem lies in the costs versus benefits. Companies seek simple and chea
Prod.. Publicado em: 29/08/2016
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12. Detection of all four dengue serotypes in Aedes aegypti female mosquitoes collected in a rural area in Colombia
The Aedes aegypti vector for dengue virus (DENV) has been reported in urban and periurban areas. The information about DENV circulation in mosquitoes in Colombian rural areas is limited, so we aimed to evaluate the presence of DENV in Ae. aegypti females caught in rural locations of two Colombian municipalities, Anapoima and La Mesa. Mosquitoes from 497 rura
Mem. Inst. Oswaldo Cruz. Publicado em: 2016-04